
What lies ahead in home batteries, V2G, AI energy management and new battery chemistry? A look at the energy future of the European household.
In 2020, only a few tens of thousands of Dutch households had a home battery. In 2026, there are already more than 250,000 and the growth curve is steepening sharply. The net metering scheme that definitively ends in 2027, falling battery prices and the rise of EVs as mobile batteries are setting a transformation in motion that will fundamentally change the energy landscape in the coming years.
But what does the future hold concretely? Which technological trends will dominate the next four years, and how can you as a homeowner respond in time? In this article, we outline the five most important developments for 2026-2030.
Based on market analyses, EU policy agendas and technological roadmaps from manufacturers, we see the following trends as decisive:
BloombergNEF predicts that the price of lithium batteries will fall from the current ā¬120-180/kWh (system price) to ā¬70-90/kWh by 2030. This makes home storage accessible to a much broader public. A 10 kWh system that currently costs ā¬3,500 could be available for ā¬1,500-ā¬2,000 by 2029. This accelerates the payback period to just 2-3 years.
The electric car as a home battery on wheels ā V2H and V2G are no longer pie in the sky. The Nissan Leaf, Mitsubishi Outlander PHEV, Hyundai Ioniq 5 and 6 and the Kia EV6 already support bidirectional charging. The Ford F-150 Lightning (V2H with 9.6 kW capacity) and various Chinese EVs are following. In 2027-2028, analysts expect that more than 30% of new EV models will support V2G/V2H. A 60-100 kWh EV battery then also becomes an enormous home battery ā without additional investment.
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Modern energy management systems (EMS) already use machine learning to predict charging patterns. But this will advance exponentially in the coming years. AI-driven systems combine historical consumption data, weather forecasts, energy prices and even your calendar to determine on a minute-by-minute basis when charging and discharging is most beneficial. Companies like Tesla, Sonnen and Huawei are investing massively in cloud-based AI optimisation that automatically improves your system as it collects more data.
LiFePO4 (LFP) is currently dominant in home batteries due to safety, lifespan and falling costs. But the laboratory world is already working on the next generation:
One of the most transformative changes for home battery owners in the 2027-2030 period is the mass emergence of Virtual Power Plants (VPP). These coordinate thousands of home batteries via software as one large virtual power station.
Your battery remains yours and stays at your home. But you give permission to a VPP operator (such as Eneco, Vattenfall or an energy cooperative) to control your battery at certain times. When the grid is short of energy, the VPP can supply power from the collective battery fleet ā and you receive compensation. Pilot programmes in the Netherlands (including Powerpeers and Zonneplan VPP) show compensation of ā¬50 ā ā¬200 per year extra without significantly affecting your own availability.
Another variant is community storage: a large battery shared by a neighbourhood or homeowners' association. This is particularly interesting for flats and rental properties where individual installation is difficult. Grid operators such as Liander and Enexis are actively experimenting with community storage projects in areas with grid congestion.
The direction is clear: home storage will become cheaper, smarter and more integrated into the energy system in the coming years. Those who invest now benefit immediately from current savings (net metering scheme ends in 2027) and are first in line when VPP compensation and V2G integration become available.
Want a future-proof system that is already ready for V2G, VPP integration and dynamic energy prices? At HES, we advise you on which home batteries already have the architecture for tomorrow's energy ecosystems. Schedule a free consultation.
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